Total transactions climbed 20 per cent from the 2022 low of 56,133 to 67,202 in 2024, signaling a return of buyer confidence and market activity after a challenging period.

The most striking aspect of the recovery is how the market has reorganized around premium pricing. The $500K-$1M price range has become the market's backbone, demonstrating exceptional resilience throughout recent volatility. This segment now commands more than half of all transactions, with 37,259 sales in 2024 representing 55 per cent of total market activity. What was once considered mid-range pricing has become the new center of gravity for the entire market.

Meanwhile, the luxury segment above $1M has found its rhythm after the dramatic volatility of 2020-2022, when high-end sales surged to 40 per cent of the market before contracting. This segment has now settled into a sustainable 30-32 per cent share, with 21,620 transactions in 2024, suggesting affluent buyers have adjusted to current conditions and are participating at predictable levels.

The recovery's most concerning aspect is the continued weakness in affordable housing. The sub-$500K segment, which represented more than 50 per cent of transactions in 2015, now accounts for just 12 per cent of the market. While this segment showed a modest increase from 6,191 transactions in 2022 to 8,323 in 2024, this represents stabilization at a dramatically reduced scale rather than meaningful recovery.

The unit market tells a similar story of constrained recovery. Unit sales declined 37 per cent from 15,303 in 2015 to 9,654 in 2022, then partially rebounded 16% to 11,207 in 2024. However, this recovery leaves unit volume 27 per cent below 2015 levels, and the unit market continues to mirror the broader pattern of strength in higher price segments while affordable options remain scarce.

As the unit market finds its footing, the same dynamic emerges: the $500K-$1M segment dominates, while sub-$500K options have become increasingly rare. This parallel pattern across both houses and units reinforces that the post-2022 recovery is occurring primarily in higher price tiers, fundamentally altering housing accessibility and market structure rather than restoring broad-based affordability.

Methodology: The analysis draws from the REINZ (Real Estate Institute of New Zealand) dataset, focusing specifically on residential house and unit transactions across New Zealand from 2015-2025. To ensure data quality, transactions under $10,000 were excluded to remove outliers and non-market sales.

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